The M9 Bayonet is, alongside the Karambit, one of the most desired knives in the inventory of many Counter-Strike 2 players. Its massive blade with characteristic serrations on the spine and its imposing model make skins look especially impressive on this knife. In CS2, thanks to improved lighting effects, the M9 has become even more visually appealing – particularly in metallic and pearlescent finishes. If you plan to open cases hoping to get this specific knife, you should know that the M9 Bayonet is available only in selected cases. These are divided into three technological waves, each offering different types of finishes.
1. Classic Series – the beginnings of the M9 Bayonet
This is where the M9 Bayonet made its debut. These cases contain finishes that have defined the skin market for years. Despite the passage of time, skins such as Crimson Web (with web patterns) or Fade (with gradient coloring) still reach extremely high prices. Cases with classic M9 Bayonet finishes:
- CS:GO Weapon Case (1, 2, and 3) – the oldest and most expensive cases in the game.
- Operation Bravo Case – a legendary case from the operation collections.
- Revolver Case – currently the cheapest case that can drop an M9 Bayonet.
- Operation Phoenix & Operation Vanguard – cases from the peak popularity era of the game.
- Winter Offensive Weapon Case – a themed winter case with unique skins.
- eSports 2013, 2013 Winter, 2014 Summer – historic containers that once supported Major tournaments.
Possible M9 Bayonet finishes include: Vanilla (no finish), Fade, Slaughter, Crimson Web, Case Hardened, Night, Blue Steel, Stained, Scorched, Forest DDPAT, Safari Mesh, and Boreal Forest.
2. Chroma Series – colorful M9 Bayonet skins
The introduction of the Chroma series was a major turning point for knife visuals. This is where the M9 Bayonet received shiny, metallic finishes that look even better in the Source 2 engine thanks to advanced reflections. Chroma series cases:
Possible finishes include: Doppler (Phases 1-4, plus Sapphire and Ruby), Marble Fade, Tiger Tooth, Damascus Steel, Ultraviolet, and Rust Coat.
3. Gamma Series – exotic M9 Bayonet versions
The final group of cases containing the M9 Bayonet is the Gamma series. These introduced unique textures and vibrant colors that stand apart from the classic designs. One of the most desired drops here is Lore, inspired by a golden fantasy aesthetic. Gamma series cases:
Possible finishes include: Gamma Doppler (including Emerald), Lore, Autotronic, Black Laminate, Bright Water, and Freehand.
Technical drop data for M9 Bayonet
Before investing in keys, it’s worth understanding the drop statistics related to the M9 Bayonet in CS2:
- Chance for a “gold item” – the probability of receiving any special item (knife) is approximately 0.26%, which statistically means about one knife per 385 opened cases.
- Selection inside the case – most of the mentioned cases include a pool of different knife models. This means that even if you hit a gold item, you usually have around a 20% chance that it will specifically be an M9 Bayonet. The chance of getting a specific finish is, of course, significantly lower.
Is it worth opening cases to get an M9 Bayonet?
Mathematically – absolutely not. The chance of getting any knife is only about 0.26% (roughly 1 in 385 cases). Considering the increasing prices of cases – especially older, historic ones – the statistical cost of opening enough cases will usually far exceed the value of the knife itself. Case opening is purely gambling for excitement. If your goal is to own an M9 Bayonet, it is far cheaper and faster to buy one directly on the Steam Community Market or trusted skin trading platforms.
