What are your odds of dropping a knife in CS2 / CS:GO? Let’s face it – special items (like gloves or the titular knives) rarely drop from cases. Valve is reluctant to share official data about the percentage chances of drops, but let’s try to estimate them.
How many % chance of dropping a knife?
It’s said that the chance of getting a knife is about 0.25-0.26%. This figure supposedly comes from the Chinese version of CS:GO – there are rumors that the local government forced Valve to disclose official drop rates from cases, including knives. However, it’s worth noting that most sources on this topic are limited to anecdotes from Reddit and statements from anonymous users on forums. Anyway, most of the CS2 / CS:GO community agrees that a knife drops on average once every 400 opened cases. This is a chance for any knife – so it’s not said that you will be satisfied with it. The approximate chances are as follows:
- opening 10 cases – about a 2.5% chance of getting a knife;
- opening 50 cases – about a 12.5% chance of getting a knife;
- opening 100 cases – about a 25% chance of getting a knife;
- opening 200 cases – about a 50% chance of getting a knife.
Remember, gambling is unpredictable, and the above figures are very much estimates – do not treat them as a definitive measure of your chances. Opening 400 cases does not guarantee a 100% chance of getting a knife. You might find your dream item in the first case, or may not get it even after opening a thousand cases.
Can you increase the chances of getting a knife?
Opening cases on the game’s anniversary, using a famous streamer’s nickname, creating a shrine for Gabe Newell… all these methods to increase the knife drop rate have one thing in common – they don’t work (at least not officially). In reality, there is no known and proven way to drop more knives from cases. The only way to get a knife “here and now” is to simply buy it from another player on the Steam market – or another trading site, but be cautious here.
Does that mean knives are easy to sell?
Since knives in CS2 / CS:GO are extremely rare, one might think they sell like hotcakes. Unfortunately, that’s not always true. The most popular items are those from the “middle shelf,” meaning they look attractive and aren’t excessively expensive. Knives commonly known as “the ugly ones” (e.g., Gut Knife | Rust Coat) or “premium quality” (e.g., Karambit | Fade) can be very hard to sell. In such cases, it might be worthwhile to use a site that automatically buys items from your inventory – like SellYourSkins. How does it work?
- Automatic skin buyback – instant transactions, no waiting for buyers.
- Exchange for cash – various payment methods, e.g., bank transfer, PayPal, and cryptocurrencies.
- Safe transaction – no risk of fraud and no long posting of offers.
If you have a knife you want to sell – here you can easily turn it into cash.
